EspañolWith Mexico’s 2018 elections in sight, a polling firm conducted a survey in which left-wing politico Andrés Manuel López Obrador is leading the electoral preferences in 11 of 16 scenarios analyzed.
Within the traditional parties, the National Action Party (PAN) and the ruling Institutional Revolutionary Party (PRI) candidates Margarita Zavala and Miguel Ángel Osorio Chong have the best results respectively. In terms of voting intention by party regardless of who the candidate is, the PRI leads with 21.5%, according to the survey published by El Economista newspaper.
López Obrador leads the polls in 11 different scenarios in which the difference with his immediate challenger is never more than seven percentage points.
The former first lady Margarita Zavala is tied with López Obrador in one scenario and comes in second place in four others.
In the only two scenarios in which Interior Minister Miguel Angel Osorio was included, he has a better chance of victory than López Obrador and Zavala.
[adrotate group=”8″]For Roy Campos, president of Consulta Mitofsky, the polling firm, the big surprise is Zavala, who “has not been actively promoted in the media, while others have. We don’t see her in TV ads, in interviews, or in public events, and yet she retains her good positioning. This is because she isn’t associated with the negativity of the other PAN candidates. Nobody is attacking her,” he said in a telephone interview with El Economista.
In scenarios in which López Obrador, Zavala, Rafael Moreno Valle (Puebla governor), and Osorio Chong face each other, the latter leads the polls followed by López Obrador, while Zavala and Moreno Valle tie for third place.
“If the campaign began today, it would be the closest in history in terms of the margin between candidates. Here we would have a contest in which you don’t see where it can go. If López Obrador is up in 11 of the 16 scenarios, it does not imply that he who would lead the polls, he is not even as strong as he was in 2006,” said Campos.